Prediction Market Systems US
Operator Console
Evidence-first research · local paper simulation · audit-ready exports
An operating system, not a signal feed. Freeze the forecast, preserve provenance, simulate conservatively and export an audit trail.
No credentials · no account access · no real-money orders
Equity
$10,118.42
Capital plus marked positions
Available capital
$9,650.00
Simulated buying power
Total P&L
+$118.42
Never used as a course grade
Open positions
3
8 closed
Market snapshot
| Market | Long | Short | Spread | Provenance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worked sample: policy decision by deadline | 47.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 2.0¢ | SAMPLE |
| Worked sample: event threshold reached | 61.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 2.0¢ | SAMPLE |
Open paper position
Precondition: create a decision record first. The installed app refreshes live public quotes when available and labels samples otherwise.
Decision record
Integrity rule: observations, assumptions, inferences and unknowns remain separate. Saved records receive a SHA-256 evidence hash.
Audit export
One decision, one reproducible record
Forecast frozen before execution
PASS
Provenance present
PASS
Fee and slippage captured
PASS
SHA-256 · e42c7a5d… representative tour hash
Modules complete
8/14
Decision records
11/30
Integrity
PASS
Capstone
IN PROGRESS
Non-compensable gates
Ledger reconciles
PASS
Evidence hashes verify
PASS
30 resolved records
OPEN
Human reasoning review
OPEN
What the full app does
Runs locally, stores a fresh lab database, syncs public market information when reachable, enforces paper-only controls and produces PDF audit and portfolio exports.